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Resilience and Rebuilding: COVID-19 Recovery in South Los Angeles

Black Lives Matter co-founder Melina Abdullah speaks at a protest in Century City.
Black Lives Matter co-founder Melina Abdullah speaks at a protest in Century City. | Brett Morrison, Creative Commons
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Published in partnership with the USC Price Center for Social Innovation in support of the Neighborhood Data for Social Change platform (NDSC). The platform is a free, publicly available online data resource that provides reliable, aggregated data at the city, neighborhood, and census tract level. The mission of the USC Price Center for Social Innovation is to develop ideas and illuminate strategies to improve the quality of life for people in low-income urban communities.


During the first half of the twentieth century, tens of thousands of Black Americans migrated to a rapidly expanding Los Angeles. Explicitly racist housing covenants and lending practices restricted newly arriving Black Angelenos to neighborhoods around Central Avenue in what is today known as South Los Angeles. In this geographic confinement, a rich and vibrant cultural scene developed. Historic 'South Central' became the epicenter of West Coast Jazz culture and earned the moniker 'Harlem of the West'. Venues like the Lincoln Theater and Club Alabam hosted Billie Holiday, Johnny Otis, Josephine Baker, and other musical legends. In 1928, the Dunbar Hotel hosted the first West Coast Convention of the NAACP. Historical South Central was the intellectual hub of the Black community in Los Angeles. During this same time, South L.A. was a key manufacturing hub, anchored by the Goodyear rubber plant, and supported a growing middle class. Seventy percent of Los Angeles’ Black population resided in the neighborhood by 1970.

'South L.A.' comprises 101 census tracts in the eastern portion of South Los Angeles and contains parts of both the City of Los Angeles and the City of Compton. It is bounded on the west by the 110 Freeway, on the south by the 91 Freeway, on the east by Alameda Street, and on the north by the 10 Freeway.

The Dunbar Hotel stands with cars parked in front of it.
In 1928, the Dunbar Hotel hosted the first West Coast Convention of the NAACP. Historical South Central was the intellectual hub of the Black community in Los Angeles. | Thomas Safran &Associates, Coalition for Responsible Community Development

Tectonic Shifts in South L.A.

In addition to being a cultural and economic epicenter, South L.A. has also been home to a number of historic social justice movements and uprisings. By mid-century, factory closures created a wave of growing unemployment and poverty in the region. Construction of freeways through Black neighborhoods, and increased tensions with a hostile Los Angeles police department pushed the community to a breaking point. The Watts Uprising, a week of social unrest in 1965, was a communal reaction to these pressures and a key moment in the Civil Rights Movement of the 1960s.

In recent decades, shifting demographics have resulted in a majority Latino population in South Los Angeles.

Mounting poverty, outsourcing of local industry, and systemic inequality continued to stress the social fabric. Two more monumental uprisings, one in 1992 and another in 2020, erupted in the neighborhood as a multicultural community confronted discriminatory policing and a lack of economic opportunity in the area.

Data from the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) shows that contemporary South L.A. is home to 475,000 people; just shy of five percent of Los Angeles County’s population. The community is 79% Latino/a and 18% Black. Forty-three percent of households have children, compared to approximately 25% countywide. Despite the ongoing challenges of racism and inequality, South L.A. continues to be a foundational pillar in the culture of the Los Angeles metropolitan region.

 Soldiers of California's 40th Armored Division direct traffic away from an area of South Central Los Angeles burning during the Watts Uprising.
Soldiers of California's 40th Armored Division direct traffic away from an area of South Central Los Angeles burning during the Watts Uprising, a week of social unrest and a key moment in the Civil Rights Movement of the 1960s. | National Guard Education Foundation

South L.A. & the COVID Pandemic

It is against this backdrop that the community confronted the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The virus had a disproportionate impact in South Los Angeles. According to 2021 data from the Los Angeles Department of Public Health (DPH), South L.A. experienced approximately 22,000 cases per 100,000 residents, while the county logged roughly 14,500 cases per 100,000 residents. Deaths were higher as well, with 313 deaths per 100,000 residents compared to 261 in broader L.A. County. Additionally, vaccination rates as of October 2021, especially among children, continue to lag in South L.A.

Economic Stability During COVID-19

While the pandemic substantially impacted the health of the community, it also had a significant impact on other areas of civic life. The Coalition for Responsible Community Development (CRCD) recently commissioned a report with the USC Price Center for Social Innovation that examines the impact of the pandemic as well as proposed solutions through the perspective of the "social determinants of health." The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), defines the social determinants of health as the "conditions in the environments where people are born, live, earn, work, play, worship, and age that affect a wide range of health, functioning, and quality-of-life outcomes and risks." HHS groups the social determinants of health into five areas: Health Care Access and Quality, Social Community Context, Economic Stability, Neighborhood and Built Environment, and Education Access and Quality. Given South L.A.’s precarious economic situation, it is helpful to consider the impact of the pandemic specifically through the lens of the 'economic stability' determinant. (View the full report to learn more about COVID-19’s impact across other social determinants of health in South L.A.).

Prior to the pandemic, many renters in Central and South Los Angeles already suffered from severe rent burden. A 2019 survey conducted in the area revealed that the median household spent an average of 48% of its income on housing related costs. Pre-pandemic household income in South L.A. was $24,500 lower than the county median, while the unemployment rate was 2.7% higher. Data from 2018 indicates that approximately 42% of employed South L.A. residents worked in the three industries – retail, manufacturing, and transportation / warehousing – with the most COVID cases in L.A. County. That number is much higher than the city average of 16%, which makes South L.A.’s workforce uniquely vulnerable to COVID infection and its commensurate health and economic costs. Furthermore, data also shows that 68% of employed individuals residing in South L.A. worked in the six industries with the highest incidences of unemployment claims filed during the pandemic, compared to only 34% for L.A. County. This implies that South L.A. workers were also subject to the erratic closures and layoffs that ravaged these industries throughout the pandemic.

Additionally, the pandemic’s impact may have been amplified by the fact that 72% of South L.A.’s immigrant workforce consists of non-naturalized individuals, who may have lacked the documentation necessary to take advantage of unemployment benefits.

In addition to the impact on workers in South L.A., it is also important to consider the pandemic’s impact on business owners in the neighborhood. In 2020, despite the pandemic, there were roughly 360 fewer business closures in South L.A. than in 2019. The graphic below displays South L.A.’s business openings and closings from 2010 to 2020.

One explanation for fewer closures could be the federal Paycheck Protection Program (PPP). Low-interest PPP loans may have enabled small businesses that would have otherwise closed to weather the pandemic and stay open. According to the Small Business Administration (SBA), just over 14,600 loans were dispersed to South L.A. businesses. The relative number of loans dispersed in South L.A. was actually higher than in greater Los Angeles County. Per 10,000 jobs, the SBA made approximately 1,400 loans in South L.A., but only made about 900 loans per 10,000 jobs in broader L.A. County. Furthermore, the loans appear to have benefited genuine small businesses, with 83% of loan recipients in the community having fewer than five employees and 70% of recipients being sole proprietors, self-employed, or independent contractors.

An Equitable Recovery for South L.A.

PPP loans do appear to have given South L.A. businesses a vital lifeline during the pandemic, but the data reveal there is more work to be done. While 38% of eligible loans made countywide were forgiven, only 29% of loans made to South L.A. businesses were forgiven. Research indicates that Black business owners confronted discrimination and difficulties accessing PPP funds. Nationally, Black loan recipients were more likely to access loan funds via an online lender rather than a traditional bank. This may be because South L.A. has just four banks and credit unions per 100,000 residents, giving local businesses considerably fewer resources for access to lending and consultations. Countywide that number is 59 per 100,000. While access to online lenders may have initially increased Black-owned businesses access to vital capital, it also could have hindered their ability to navigate the intricate requirements of the loan forgiveness process.

The pandemic has exacerbated historically discriminatory policies and disinvestment that the community has long experienced. A holistic response will include investments toward equitable COVID-19 recovery efforts that support a vibrant economic future for the area. Fortunately, South L.A. is home to resilient community networks and a social service infrastructure that are aptly positioned to spearhead recovery efforts and leverage funding from public and private institutions. Suggestions included guaranteeing that local resident's benefit from new sports and culture ventures and supporting public-private partnerships that leverage current community outreach. Other economic remedies include linking small businesses with non-predatory lenders and technical support, helping residents access training and employment in sectors that pay living wages, and ensuring that opportunities are equitably distributed regardless of citizenship status. (View the full report to read all recommendations for an equitable recovery in South L.A.).

Sources:

American Community Survey.

Bell, A., Hedin, T., Schnorr, G., Von Wachter, T. (2020, December 21). An Analysis of Unemployment Insurance Claims in California During the COVID-19 Pandemic. California Policy Lab.

The Coalition for Responsible Community Development.

Contreras, Z., Ngo, V., Pulido, M., Washburn, F., Meschyan, G., Gluck, F....Halai, U. (2021). Industry Sectors Highly Affected by Worksite Outbreaks of Coronavirus Disease, Los Angeles County, California, USA, March 19–September 30, 2020. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 27(7), 1769-1775.

Glasmeier, Amy K. (2020). Living Wage Calculator. Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Howell, S., Kuchler, T., Snitkof, D., Stroebel, J. & Wong, J. (2021, October 15). Racial Disparities in Access to Small Business Credit: Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program.

Lederer, A. & Oros, S. (2021). Lending Discrimination within the Paycheck Protection Program. National Community Reinvestment Coalition.

Los Angeles Department of Public Health.

Los Angeles Open Data.

Rosen, J., Angst S., De Gregorio, S., Painter, G., (2020). How Do Renters Cope with Unaffordability? USC Sol Price Center for Social Innovation.

Small Business Administration.

U.S. Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics.

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