The Future of the United States is Minority White | KCET
The Future of the United States is Minority White
More on Immigration
In 2045, the United States will become “minority white” for the first time in its history, according to census projections. Several states already have reached this milestone in which non-Latino whites make up less than half the population.
This major demographic shift is being driven not by current immigration, but by U.S. births involving racial and ethnic minorities. Strong immigration numbers during the 1980s from Latin America and Asia obviously have played a role, but a “minority white” U.S. seems inevitable even if the influx from those regions is sharply curtailed.
By the mid-21st century, according to U.S. Census Bureau population projections, whites will comprise 49.9% of the population, Latinos will be 24.6%, blacks 13.1%, Asians 7.8% and 3.8 % will be multiracial.
These numbers are scary to some Americans, recent polls and political movements make clear. A 2015 poll by the nonpartisan Public Religion Research Institute found that attitudes about immigrants strongly vary by age group. Older white Americans are less likely than younger generations to think immigrants strengthen the country, and are more likely to believe the national culture and values are worse today than in the 1950s.
Recent polling by the Pew Research Center found that a majority of Americans are unaware that most immigrants are in the country legally.
And yet, demographers and other experts say a younger, more diverse population will benefit the economic prosperity of white older Americans, who will remain a growing share of the population for years to come as more baby boomers reach retirement age.
Demographer William Frey of the Brookings Institution says in a research paper published in March 2018: “New census population projections confirm the importance of racial minorities as the primary demographic engine of the nation´s future growth, countering an aging, slow-growing and soon to be declining white population.” His point is that groups that are growing will also provide a larger share of the consumers, labor force and tax base that support the economy.
Even as debates on immigration and demographic changes rage in the public arena, the youthful minority population’s higher birth rates are already doing the nation a service, says Frey, “keeping it from aging even faster than would otherwise be the case.”
In comparison, countries like Japan and Italy with lower immigration levels than the United States have a declining labor force and extreme aging. These trends result in not enough workers to fill jobs and pay into public pensions.
In the United States, Frey asserts, “the more rapidly growing, largely white senior population will be increasingly dependent” on the contributions of minorities to the economy and to Medicare and Social Security.”
Already, whites are dying faster than their birth rates in the U.S. and minorities have a higher birth rate that replenishes the loss of working-age population. Therefore, the nation’s future will depend on the minority communities that will help make up the workforce and be a growing voting population.
Con Barrett en la Corte Suprema, los límites de COVID en las iglesias de California están en peligro legal
Desde marzo, figuras religiosas han intentado (sin lograrlo) convencer que jueces deroguen las restricciones de salud pública de California sobre reuniones masivas como violaciones inconstitucionales de la libertad religiosa. Parece que eso cambiará.
As 2020 draws to a close, small businesses have persevered despite it all ... not only because of SoCal’s innovative culture, but because they’ve figured out how to serve new markets. Meet four business people who have managed to figure it all out.
The Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority announced Wednesday that its staff has conducted about 36,000 wellness checks among unhoused people since April by using a mobile app, in an effort to reduce the spread of COVID-19.
Because of the pandemic, interviews are most commonly conducted online or over the phone, so we’ve got some tips to make the most of your virtual interviews.
An investigation reveals how the state and many cities have let developers get away for decades with not paying their fair share when they replace affordable lodging with luxury hotels up and down California’s coast.
A Humboldt town is polarized over allegations of racism and police incompetence surrounding the death of college student Josiah Lawson.
As California deals with the fallout of a global waste crisis, plastic manufacturers continue to spread misleading information about recycling, while spending big on lobbying efforts to keep their products on the shelves.
For decades Los Angeles has lived in the shadows of New York and Chicago when it comes to the jazz, but that's now changing. LA's jazz scene is on the upswing. Meet the people, places and sounds that are putting LA jazz back on the map.
Chopped down trees, unspent money, building homes thirty feet from the freeway: Is the city of Los Angeles falling down on the job when it comes to certain environmental policies? Socal Connected investigates.